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After the Conventions: Will Obama or Romney Win?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?

After President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin — or continue on and on.

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Feel like putting some real money on the election? Before Obama's big speech Thursday night, Ladbrokes reckoned the odds of an Obama victory at 4-11 and a Romney win at 2-1. The odds of a tie in the Electoral College are 100-1, according to the venerable betting house. Those, by the way, are the same chances that the London bookmakers are giving a Ron Paul presidential victory in 2016. 

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for President, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Toni Leance September 07, 2012 at 11:45 PM
Mitt Romney will eviscerate the middle class and give tax breaks to the wealthiest of Americans. The middle class is struggling we can't afford a Romey Ryan presidency.
Brian B September 08, 2012 at 01:21 AM
*Raising your bosses taxes will not get you a pay raise. *Heavily Taxing the successful to pay lazy losers to sit on the sofa hasn't worked for Europe and won't work here. *Everyone knows a community leader that teaches people about gov. handout benefits isn't as qualified as a Successful Businessman to lead our country.
Toni Leance September 08, 2012 at 01:58 AM
" lazy loosers to sit on the sofa" really tell that to the mom who is working two jobs to pay the underwater mortgage or the teacher who needs to work at night so that she can make ends meet. The middle class are not "lazy" they are being pushed into poverty.
jon cyr September 08, 2012 at 03:37 AM
ARE YOU BETTER OFF THAN 4 YRS AGO ? Romney asks.....But me, ( Gov. Romney )TRUST ME, I only think I need to let you know about 1 YR. and 1/2
Loudound David September 08, 2012 at 01:43 PM
Why I am voting for Obama (no hostility or insults, just logic): 1. Obama inherited an economic mess caused by the Republicans 2. I knew 4 years ago that nobody from either party could fix the mess in 4 years 3. Romney refuses to release tax records 4. Romney has not explained any clear, defined plans to resolve the economy 5. Republican Congress has damaged our country with inability to perform 6. I support marriage equality, gay rights (I'm straight) and education 7. I strongly believe in the separation of state and church 8. Trickle down theory (tax breaks for the rich to create jobs) has a record of not working. Companies have learned to use present workforce more efficiently I have many other reasons but those are the main ones.
Brian B September 08, 2012 at 02:31 PM
*It's not American Tax Payers responsibility to cover people who signed up for mortgages they can't afford, nor cover lost value in the investment of the house purchase. *Your example: the woman working two jobs probably should ask her company about how they could double her wages and bring her in full time if they didn't give Payroll taxes/Federal IRS the same amount they pay her each month. IMPORTANT : If Obama Care goes into affect you will see a employers splitting every position into two part time positions . The reason is they simply won't be able to afford the Federal Mandated benefits required to provide to Full Time employees so companies will be forced to make all positions part time. * Nothing anyone can say or blog will change peoples minds. All I ask is people do some reading and truth finding, trust their neighbors and companies more than the Federal Gov. and be open minded to the Republican Party this year. * Toni, please read Atlas Shrugged by Ms. Rand she will really open your eyes.
Sarah Creeley September 08, 2012 at 02:48 PM
I predict Obama will win by a landslide!
Brian B September 08, 2012 at 03:31 PM
Clinton and Reagan inherited really bad economies....they fixed in less than 4 years.
Brian B September 08, 2012 at 03:41 PM
Las Vegas genius odds predictions, Electoral College computer data evaluations and Gallup Prediction (before white house yelled at them) ALL Predict Romney Ryan will Win!! You all can blog and conversate with those three Predictions.
Steve Spilman September 08, 2012 at 03:42 PM
Romney will not win Califirnia, but he will win the election.
George Parsons September 08, 2012 at 03:55 PM
That statement is simply not true. And even though it took them into their second terms to "fix things", they did not face the type of Congress that our current President is dealing with. When GOP party leadership commits to doing nothing but ensuring the defeat of the standing President, that is not a demonstration of leadership or integrity.
Toni Leance September 08, 2012 at 04:51 PM
Your predictions on the affordable health care act are wrong they did not come true in Massachusetts when Romney care was enacted. I read Ayn Rand in he 70s and don't think objectivism has the seminal qualities that you obviously do. It is funny that Ayn Rand is most often cited by conservatives when Ms Rand was a pro choice, free sex, atheist all qualities that are anathema to most conservatives.
Marcia Kalapus September 08, 2012 at 08:21 PM
I disagree with you on health care in small businesses. They are already hiring workers at less than 32 hours a week, so that they don't have to have insurance. Everyone needs to have decent health care. You are right that Mass. system works that Romney put in. The problem is that he won't or can't toot his own horn on that one because of the Republicans and Tea Party who hate Obama so much that they won't recognize it as a good system. I am afraid bloggers that we are in for four more rough years if Romney wins. This is my opinion and does not require a debate about it.
Brian B September 08, 2012 at 09:51 PM
Clint Eastwood likes Romney and Ryan! And that settles it ... Romney and Ryan will win!
Toni Leance September 09, 2012 at 12:23 AM
will i am likes OBAMA that settles it OBAMA will win
William Peters September 09, 2012 at 12:13 PM
Loudound David, Why I think the sky isn't blue (no hostility or insults, just logic) 1. Ketchup is red. 2. Elvis wrote "Blue Suede Shoes" BEFORE he died. 3. There are more red states than blue ones. 4. Blue is actually the name of a character on some kid's tv show. 5. My friend Skye's favorite color is green. I have many other reasons, but those are the main ones.


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